Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 528.783658 562.315450 597.158109 636.126862 678.567560 723.469185 774.671782
2026-02-08 487.393676 533.861409 584.099201 642.668842 709.353420 783.239146 871.746197
2026-02-15 457.100309 511.171544 571.292607 643.512449 728.461093 825.891316 947.079763
2026-02-22 433.653311 493.097651 560.709261 643.942747 744.534277 863.320481 1015.929886
2026-03-01 415.940337 479.788860 553.849847 647.001389 762.315005 902.100977 1087.066762
2026-03-08 398.718252 465.635547 544.585594 645.766281 773.702844 932.463756 1148.227169
2026-03-15 384.695999 454.318012 537.739739 646.509996 786.775480 964.700013 1212.725941
2026-03-22 371.801064 443.555782 530.748593 646.243037 797.909295 994.275306 1274.647250
2026-03-29 360.390846 433.978076 524.568199 646.341936 809.010448 1023.757816 1337.516184
2026-04-05 351.553942 427.147956 521.381260 649.873343 824.407742 1059.283131 1410.421756
2026-04-12 342.042313 418.978597 515.982837 649.991898 834.844699 1088.083222 1474.935029
2026-04-19 335.458353 414.259429 514.754395 655.426330 852.528919 1127.528918 1557.117254
2026-04-26 329.429188 410.028700 513.964907 661.343602 871.056074 1169.020944 1645.068175
2026-05-03 324.192214 406.594824 514.007358 668.246801 891.079257 1213.449155 1740.228816
2026-05-10 317.092850 400.375427 509.976334 669.135439 902.228571 1244.989178 1816.743891
2026-05-17 310.283694 394.285824 505.841871 669.588774 912.563640 1275.549736 1893.370297
2026-05-24 304.842420 389.849787 503.772451 672.811314 926.991341 1312.896970 1983.518933
2026-05-31 298.181754 383.505972 498.786661 671.509990 934.364411 1339.344773 2056.675467
2026-06-07 292.566729 378.421446 495.364317 672.293572 944.826581 1371.030020 2140.867075
2026-06-14 286.900603 373.082079 491.375105 672.012301 953.493358 1400.054865 2222.133476
2026-06-21 281.636141 368.143252 487.774334 672.116501 962.654800 1430.178574 2307.324885
2026-06-28 277.726503 364.997671 486.628938 675.837408 977.632600 1470.630301 2414.510175
2026-07-05 272.923717 360.432487 483.254590 675.962331 986.704195 1501.364017 2505.370424